A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. I hope you use your chance well. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. A lovely day to you. Thats 150,000 generations. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Even if they couldn't read them yet. saving. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. How fast does a laden fly fly? What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Those who are brave (foolish?) That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. xx, Lets be social! First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). June 5. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. So what's the probability of your being born? So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Do you know the odds of being alive? It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science.

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