4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. Outside of Clayton Kershaw, he may be the most dominant pitcher in the game right now; FanGraphs credits Scherzer with more WAR than any non-Kershaw pitcher (25.9) since 2013. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Drew. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. . Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. But theres no alarm. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. ago. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Be the first one to comment on this story. Theyll defer. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. None. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. All rights reserved. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. With 273 homers, Goldschmidt could reach 300 by the end of next season, though with 1,539 hits, the 2,000 milestone and real clarity on his fate is probably three seasons away. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Strikeouts are booming like never before. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. More From This Game. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. The Cardinals are calm. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . 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MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. All WAR (and WPA) figures here refer to the Baseball Reference version, unless otherwise indicated. Rile people up.. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Injury? Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). Your email address will not be published. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. I found 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. Sabermetrics lover. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Velocity? Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. Sure there are. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. Flaherty is calm. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. Godspeed, Waino. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). Not an injury issue? Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Hall of Very Good. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Ad Choices 55 votes, 66 comments. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. 34. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. Adam Wainwright. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. The oldest and wisest twin. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. The best pitcher in MLB? Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Look at that. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. NeverSober1900. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. 9 mo. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Sorry we could not verify that email address. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award.

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